Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 207.613719 233.085291 261.199433 294.661891 333.572291 377.591267 431.440823
2025-03-09 168.767751 202.367798 242.634429 294.965416 361.940924 445.834874 560.553012
2025-03-16 144.959139 181.060845 226.621377 289.291716 374.778396 489.604271 659.546002
2025-03-23 130.270187 168.160937 218.036321 289.955256 393.507011 541.291463 776.017905
2025-03-30 116.888690 154.918064 206.706680 284.329521 401.251867 576.957307 873.766782
2025-04-06 107.471871 145.825528 199.674281 283.277203 414.569457 621.686166 992.918953
2025-04-13 96.503114 133.360465 186.359834 270.971441 408.370818 633.874545 1058.483840
2025-04-20 92.912373 131.148279 187.681558 280.949042 438.575006 709.984432 1253.129670
2025-04-27 90.107095 129.759341 189.957337 292.457102 472.560931 797.769177 1490.014335
2025-05-04 85.250471 124.773655 186.082813 293.226065 487.701163 853.284242 1674.141527
2025-05-11 79.382436 117.730240 178.273826 286.374573 487.969842 880.041562 1801.713301
2025-05-18 74.328642 111.605861 171.441384 280.469892 489.118530 908.456763 1939.667862
2025-05-25 71.755234 109.416761 171.136463 286.522889 514.748217 993.343082 2242.318057
2025-06-01 68.290045 105.519199 167.630180 286.367023 528.125146 1054.648995 2504.921425
2025-06-08 64.304771 100.459802 161.684830 280.943434 529.809611 1089.719376 2706.518454
2025-06-15 61.619337 97.422159 159.045170 281.578314 544.346977 1157.495767 3026.175893
2025-06-22 58.270367 93.018515 153.617710 276.152423 544.871360 1191.179705 3252.792392
2025-06-29 55.815128 90.024933 150.536162 275.137227 555.152854 1251.542650 3589.703720
2025-07-06 52.087563 84.563077 142.524245 263.263883 538.890816 1239.373867 3671.836697
2025-07-13 51.420625 84.544176 144.702617 272.891216 574.720645 1375.672011 4354.003240
2025-07-20 50.938328 84.820183 147.445353 283.991745 615.863189 1537.050542 5221.967473
2025-07-27 49.261939 82.787900 145.553167 284.733344 631.055232 1625.396062 5832.599455
2025-08-03 46.878836 79.307049 140.580301 278.125080 626.308230 1651.238797 6174.563412